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![Collapse of backwardation in Gasoil and Bean oil continues](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_d02ef11c77a84675bbba367aadba50af~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_d02ef11c77a84675bbba367aadba50af~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Feb 20, 20231 min read
Collapse of backwardation in Gasoil and Bean oil continues
We were looking at $135/mt backwardation from Mar to Dec 2023 in diesel in NorthWest Europe and are now looking at less than $40/mt. We...
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![Changes in Global oilseeds stocks (-3%) have resulted in massive price increases (+81%) since 2020](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_565b27800ce44d02a41d8c15cf5e5426~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_565b27800ce44d02a41d8c15cf5e5426~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Feb 17, 20231 min read
Changes in Global oilseeds stocks (-3%) have resulted in massive price increases (+81%) since 2020
Soybean stock to use ratio dropped to 22% in Mar 2021 yet we are now back to 27% stock to use since that low, or up 5% yet prices have...
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![Baltic Dry index dives as does Heat cracks as world economy slows](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_94974e35227b48579ca632abdd9fd36d~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_94974e35227b48579ca632abdd9fd36d~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Feb 16, 20231 min read
Baltic Dry index dives as does Heat cracks as world economy slows
BDI made a new low at 541 (on 3Nov of 2009, it made a low of 700). Although this is dry cargo, it is a good reflection of world economy...
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![Soybean oil breaks down as we approach 50% mark of Soybean harvest in Brazil](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_9e2c4300bd1a4a03936f2e4de345d5b3~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_9e2c4300bd1a4a03936f2e4de345d5b3~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Feb 14, 20231 min read
Soybean oil breaks down as we approach 50% mark of Soybean harvest in Brazil
We are sitting barely above the 200 day and Paranagua soy oil premium collapsed overnight by more than a 100 points with bids 100 points...
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![Heating Oil crack holds-on above $40/Brl as Gasoil rebounds almost $65/MT vs last week in NWE](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_458d3bd7d856416aa8c663416910c55c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_458d3bd7d856416aa8c663416910c55c~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Feb 13, 20231 min read
Heating Oil crack holds-on above $40/Brl as Gasoil rebounds almost $65/MT vs last week in NWE
Hard to keep everything rationale with a changing war narrative to now the war of the worlds. Gasoil has rebounded solidly in Northwest...
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![March BOGO is down 24% in last 3 months while both Gasoil and Bean Oil curve collapses](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_518a564a6ea147a7a3d019164f9015a5~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_518a564a6ea147a7a3d019164f9015a5~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Feb 9, 20231 min read
March BOGO is down 24% in last 3 months while both Gasoil and Bean Oil curve collapses
BOGO has recovered somewhat this week after the massive drop of gasoil last week but a lower trend for BOGO remains firmly in place. The...
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![Is Illinois State SAF tax credit of $1.50 per gallon the new Splash & Dash?](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_e29bdf2a7e7e46e5aca103d68383b3e3~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_e29bdf2a7e7e46e5aca103d68383b3e3~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Feb 8, 20231 min read
Is Illinois State SAF tax credit of $1.50 per gallon the new Splash & Dash?
Illinois has passed a bill that would provide a State tax credit of $1.50 per Gallon of SAF blended with limitations of 10 mil gal of...
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![What is going on with RME biodiesel in NWE?](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_e700ad1a06b147e782a4b808dfceb660~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_e700ad1a06b147e782a4b808dfceb660~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Feb 6, 20231 min read
What is going on with RME biodiesel in NWE?
Gasoil drop last week of $100 per MT has been completely absorbed by premiums of RME in Nortwest Europe that are now trading at +951 over...
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![$100/MT Gasoil plunge in NWE Europe since Jan 30](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_376b7e24f85a44d28ba848f8f2b2df5c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_376b7e24f85a44d28ba848f8f2b2df5c~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Feb 2, 20231 min read
$100/MT Gasoil plunge in NWE Europe since Jan 30
Despite low gasoil inventories and Feb 5 sanctions gasoil has dropped $100/Mt in just a week. Natural gas leading the way down as Europe...
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![Rapeseed oil cash prices in Europe come under pressure](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_ce2b4048be9548c891308c7bae4d1fb7~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_ce2b4048be9548c891308c7bae4d1fb7~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Feb 1, 20231 min read
Rapeseed oil cash prices in Europe come under pressure
RSO prices remain the cheapest soft oil in Europe. However we note that premium in RME biodiesel are showing $150/mt backwardation to...
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![Crack margins in mineral oil still spectacular](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_e95eddd4c06a485a899f921c54c155d8~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_e95eddd4c06a485a899f921c54c155d8~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Jan 31, 20231 min read
Crack margins in mineral oil still spectacular
3:2:1 cracks on screen led by Heat crack are still very high in case you were wondering how Exxon cleared $56Billion in profits in 2022....
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![Backwardation finally breaking - just beginning?](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_842181349acd4c4883d0e4f0f2f58eea~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_842181349acd4c4883d0e4f0f2f58eea~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Jan 30, 20231 min read
Backwardation finally breaking - just beginning?
Gasoil Feb/Sep drops $30 mostly in front of curve to +$99 per MT while Soybean oil now in -22 contango through May. Premiums in South...
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![Massive improvements in Biodiesel margins while FAME premiums falling](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_c3da60a050d94dcfa0e1d05d31f798ba~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_c3da60a050d94dcfa0e1d05d31f798ba~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Jan 25, 20231 min read
Massive improvements in Biodiesel margins while FAME premiums falling
Houston we now have a problem with demand as consumer watches prices falling yet backwardation in both Gasoil and Bean oil remain but for...
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![BOGO making new lows despite Gasoil cracks making new high](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_e3c9b59204294899bb31dd9d549fb8b1~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_e3c9b59204294899bb31dd9d549fb8b1~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Jan 23, 20231 min read
BOGO making new lows despite Gasoil cracks making new high
Rains in Argentina and a monster crop in Brazil is weighing on Soybeans and Soyoil. Anecdotal reports from harvest reports in Brazil...
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![EPA issues ruling on D4 RINs for ethanol to Biojet fuel production](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_199e74fd10d64bb6bea121a869a84231~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_199e74fd10d64bb6bea121a869a84231~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Jan 19, 20231 min read
EPA issues ruling on D4 RINs for ethanol to Biojet fuel production
EPA has issued a ruling allowing Lanzajet to issue D4 RINs at 1.6x based on undenatured ethanol feedstock to either Jet or Renewable...
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![Biodiesel Crush Margins down >20% in last 3 months](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_7ce7731d87cc43e8b947b627667deb40~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_7ce7731d87cc43e8b947b627667deb40~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Jan 16, 20231 min read
Biodiesel Crush Margins down >20% in last 3 months
Weakness in Gasoil/Heating Oil has been crushing production margins although premium of Soybean oil Vs Gasoil has remained above 20 days...
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![Post WASDE comments on Oilseeds supplies: Soya >27% stock to use ratio](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_93c22b97e084429787c3a25a6cc0b1bd~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_93c22b97e084429787c3a25a6cc0b1bd~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Jan 14, 20231 min read
Post WASDE comments on Oilseeds supplies: Soya >27% stock to use ratio
Seems like we are back to realities of ample oilseed supplies despite a drought in Argentina (reminding everyone that most of the...
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![FAME Biodiesel in Europe trades strongly above BOGO despite deep contango structure in premiums](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_b5e673ce7f6945cc8bd7f96e8d178b6c~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_b5e673ce7f6945cc8bd7f96e8d178b6c~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Jan 12, 20231 min read
FAME Biodiesel in Europe trades strongly above BOGO despite deep contango structure in premiums
FAME average of the month at +518 over ICE Gasoil while BOGO spot futures closed at +451. BOGO is in a clear contango of almost $50/mt...
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![US EPA not bullish Soy crush capacity growth despite Renewable Diesel forecasts](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_4d059e1d404749059431078aaa5869c4~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_4d059e1d404749059431078aaa5869c4~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Jan 11, 20231 min read
US EPA not bullish Soy crush capacity growth despite Renewable Diesel forecasts
Difficult to reconcile the fact that world will add no less than 10 Million Metric Tons of additional Biodiesel/Renewable Diesel by 2027...
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![Thoughts on Biojet or Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) roadmap](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/6e2e80_78f6adee458b4b1fa41325d117df271f~mv2.png/v1/fill/w_454,h_341,fp_0.50_0.50,q_95,enc_auto/6e2e80_78f6adee458b4b1fa41325d117df271f~mv2.webp)
Henri Bardon
Jan 10, 20231 min read
Thoughts on Biojet or Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) roadmap
Functional Biojet production installed capacity is currently about 500,000 Metric Tons yet we are aiming to increase this 10X by 2027. ...
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