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IMO Greenlights Feedstock Flexibility as Soyoil Surges
The biodiesel complex finds itself at an intriguing inflection point today. Gasoil has firmed to $634/mt, lending support to downstream...
Henri Bardon
12 minutes ago2 min read
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BOPO Breakout or Blow-Off? Cracks, Crude, and South American Supply Loom
The BOPO spread (Bean Oil – Palm Oil) has surged from –90 on January 3 to +112.82 today—an extraordinary 200-point reversal that reflects...
Henri Bardon
1 day ago2 min read
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Title: Tight Stocks, Tighter Margins: Can Policy Catch Up With Biofuel Reality?
The biodiesel and renewable diesel landscape remains in flux this week, with Europe’s spot premiums still strong despite stable ICE...
Henri Bardon
2 days ago2 min read
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When Fundamentals Break: Biodiesel Premiums, Carbon Tariffs, and a Disconnected Dollar
The biodiesel market continues to confound expectations. Spot premiums in the ARAG barge market have exploded, with FAME 0 trading at...
Henri Bardon
3 days ago2 min read
17 views
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Markets Whipsawed by Tariff Turnaround and USDA’s WASDE: A 90-Day Window into Uncertainty
Today’s biofuels market landscape is clouded by confusion and contradiction. While the USDA’s latest WASDE report offered few surprises,...
Henri Bardon
Apr 102 min read
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Tariff Shockwaves: Biofuels Outlook One Week After Liberation Day
One week after 'Liberation Day,' the policy pendulum in Washington continues to swing abruptly, and with it, the global biofuels complex....
Henri Bardon
Apr 91 min read
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Market Drift or Structural Shift? Pressure Mounts Across the Biofuels Complex
ICE gasoil futures have broken sharply lower, slipping by 4%—a full standard deviation—on the back of mounting bearish sentiment in...
Henri Bardon
Apr 92 min read
9 views
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Markets Resume Slide as Trade Tensions Escalate, Biofuels Feel the Heat
Global markets have resumed their downward trajectory as the U.S. imposes another round of tariffs on China—escalating duties by 50%...
Henri Bardon
Apr 82 min read
13 views
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The Soybean Oil Disconnect: Fuel Economics Under Pressure
The biodiesel market is flashing some contradictory signals this week, and producers and traders alike should be paying close attention....
Henri Bardon
Apr 72 min read
24 views
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Tariffs, Feedstocks, and the New Stratification of Biofuels
One week ago, global trade operated under familiar assumptions. This week, it doesn’t. With a sweeping executive order, the U.S. imposed...
Henri Bardon
Apr 63 min read
32 views
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Markets Disjointed as UCOME Drops Despite Feedstock Rally; USTR Shipping Proposal Emerges as Major Threat
Today’s UCOME activity in the Northwest Europe barge market saw unusually high volumes, but the flat price dropped $20/mt to $1,537/mt....
Henri Bardon
Apr 22 min read
45 views
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RIN Prices Hit $1 Mark as Biodiesel Margins Remain Under Pressure
Q2 opens with a significant milestone as D4 RINs have climbed to $0.995 , effectively touching the $1 threshold for the first time since...
Henri Bardon
Apr 12 min read
44 views
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EIA: lower use of vegetable oils mix in RD/Biodiesel
The latest EIA data reveals a concerning trend in the biodiesel and renewable diesel sectors, with overall feedstock use plummeting by at...
Henri Bardon
Mar 313 min read
41 views
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EU Certification Decision Could Upend Biofuel Industry
An earthquake of gigantic magnitude appears to be impacting traceability following the obsession by lobbyists at the EU that most of the...
Henri Bardon
Mar 282 min read
10 views
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Biofuels Market Update: Trump Administration Sparks BOGO Rally with Industry Reconciliation Plan
The biofuels market experienced a dramatic shift today as the Bean Oil-Gas Oil spread (BOGO) surged 14% to reach +302, primarily driven...
Henri Bardon
Mar 273 min read
42 views
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Palm Oil Market Analysis: BOPO Returns to Positive Territory Amid Global anxiety about tariffs
https://open.substack.com/pub/globalbiodiesel/p/palm-oil-market-analysis-bopo-returns?r=3f53s9&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelco...
Henri Bardon
Mar 261 min read
27 views
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Rapeseed Riddle: Market Inversions Defy Harvest Logic Amid Rising Trade Walls
https://open.substack.com/pub/globalbiodiesel/p/rapeseed-riddle-market-inversions?r=3f53s9&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOn...
Henri Bardon
Mar 251 min read
28 views
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Feb China UCO exports to US surprises
The recent data on Chinese UCO exports to the US has revealed some surprising trends. Even though January/February China UCO incremental...
Henri Bardon
Mar 243 min read
32 views
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Despite large backwardation in Diesel BOGO deeply in contango
The reality is that despite gasoil backwardation of +$16.75/mt to September, BOGO (Bean Oil Gas Oil spread) is in contango (carry) of...
Henri Bardon
Mar 232 min read
60 views
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EMTS data confirms dire situation of Biodiesel/RD in US
Bio/RD took the biggest hit from the fall in generated credits under RFS/EMTS. I am surprised it isn't worse but I think industry was...
Henri Bardon
Mar 202 min read
75 views
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